Lakers: How Should Front Office Approach Rebuilding?

Mar 23, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Los Angeles Lakers guard D'Angelo Russell (1) against the Phoenix Suns at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The Suns defeated the Lakers 119-107. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Mar 23, 2016; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Los Angeles Lakers guard D'Angelo Russell (1) against the Phoenix Suns at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The Suns defeated the Lakers 119-107. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports /
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As the Lakers usher in the post-Kobe Bryant era, management must decide what course of action to take to try to rebuild the team into contenders

When you look at the Los Angeles Lakers current position, they have some upside. Guard D’Angelo Russell and forward Julius Randle are two young players brimming with potential. Barring an unforeseen trade or surprise, promising forward Brandon Ingram will be added as the No. 2 pick in the 2016 NBA Draft June 23rd draft. Meanwhile, they’ll likely match any offer to retain restricted free agent guard Jordan Clarkson.

The big question is what approach should the Lakers front office use to augment the roster? Do they hold onto the youngsters and build around them? Should they bundle two together to trade for an established star? How seriously should they pursue the top free agents this summer?

Let’s look at how recent league champions and contenders have built their teams. Over the last five seasons, only five teams have made it to the NBA Finals. They’ve used two different methods to stock their rosters.

First, we have the Western Conference model—building your contender slowly by drafting your big stars, then adding veterans around them.

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The Golden State Warriors drafted four of their starters—Stephen Curry, Klay ThompsonHarrison Barnes, and Draymond Green. They ultimately added three key contributors, Andre Iguodala and Andrew Bogut via trade and Shaun Livingston through free agency. (Note that they didn’t win their first title until six years after drafting Curry and four years after taking Thompson.)

Then you look at another contender in the West like the San Antonio Spurs, the most consistent franchise of the past 20 years. The Spurs drafted three starters from their 2014 championship team—Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, and Tony Parker, and effectively drafted a fourth in Kawhi Leonard via a draft-day trade in 2011. They surrounded those stars with solid role players like Danny Green and Boris Diaw. And last summer they signed their first prominent free agent, LaMarcus Aldridge.

Similar to both the Warriors and Spurs, the Oklahoma City Thunder have made it to the Finals just once, but of course they battled the Warriors in a seven-game series this year and possibly would’ve made it further recently if not for injuries. They too built through the draft, selecting stars Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook, Serge Ibaka, James Harden, and Steven Adams (with a pick from the eventual Harden trade).

However, the model put forth by a couple of teams from the Eastern Conference is quite different.

Out East, you have examples like the Miami Heat and their construction of the Big Three. They first drafted Dwyane Wade in 2003, but later added star free agents LeBron James and Chris Bosh in 2010, and even later Ray Allen as well.

Then of course there are the Cleveland Cavaliers, the team that originally drafted James in ’03. After he left in free agency, they drafted Kyrie Irving and Tristan Thompson and picked Andrew Wiggins in 2014, but traded Wiggins for Kevin Love after they re-signed LeBron in free agency.

That begs the question of which method should the Lakers utilize?

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Would fans be patient if next season’s starting lineup consisted of Russell-Clarkson-Randle-Ingram and a free agent center like Hassan Whiteside (who might command a max contract), Festus Ezeli, or Bismack Biyombo, backed up by a few solid but not All-Star quality veterans?

Or do they need to emulate their Eastern counterparts by pursuing a current star or two right now in free agency? Assuming that Durant would leave OKC only to sign with another contender, should the Lakers front office go all-in to try to sign a free agent such as Al Horford or DeMar DeRozan, even if that requires offering each a max contract?

Perhaps instead the Lakers should attempt to package some youngsters together to pursue a big star like Paul George, DeMarcus Cousins, or Jimmy Butler? Would that strip away too much talent? Could they make up for that by also signing a free agent or two?

For example, would it be possible to trade two of their three recent lottery picks (Russell-Randle-Ingram) for a star such as George, Cousins or Butler, and then also sign a premier free agent or two like Horford, Derozan, point guard Mike Conley, or even Durant? How many big-name stars can they sign and still fit under the salary cap? Certainly two, maybe three.

There is no clear path and no easy decision. Each method has its plusses and minuses.

Approaching a rebuild like the teams from the West is safer as long as you truly believe that each of the young players will actually become stars. As a bonus, the youngsters are cost-controlled for four or five years. It’s also more exciting to assemble your own homegrown team from scratch. But what happens if they never live up to their potential, or if the pieces don’t fit properly together?

The East’s model is riskier because it depends on completing multiple independent transactions at a time when many teams have room to sign players under the new salary cap. But of course it can move a team into contention sooner, that isif it works. If it doesn’t, well, just ask fans of the Brooklyn Nets how it feels after they acquired Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Joe Johnson and Deron Williams, and fell flat on their faces.

The opinion here is that it’s best to follow the Western Conference model and build around the promising young core. Russell, Randle, Ingram and Clarkson have complimentary skills that should fit together well in the long run. But that approach admittedly requires patience from both the front office and the fans.

Next: Top 25 NBA Free Agents for 2016

It will be very interesting to see what Mitch Kupchak and Jim Buss do in the months ahead. For better or worse, the fate of the Lakers is in their hands.