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Lakers' Walker Kessler overpay is ultimately a win as the lesser of two evils

Walker Kessler was expensive. Jalen Duren would've cost even more.
May 11, 2026; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Detroit Pistons center Jalen Duren (0) reacts after a play against the Cleveland Cavaliers during the second half of game four in the second round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Rocket Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images
May 11, 2026; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Detroit Pistons center Jalen Duren (0) reacts after a play against the Cleveland Cavaliers during the second half of game four in the second round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Rocket Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

The Los Angeles Lakers paid a small fortune to acquire Walker Kessler. It was a debatable move considering he's played 63 games between his past two NBA seasons and isn't yet an All-Star. The unspoken truth about going all-in on Kessler, however, is that it saved the Lakers from an even more egregious overpay for Jalen Duren.

Debates can certainly be held in regard to who the better player is between Duren and Kessler, but despite expressing interest in both players, the Lakers prioritized Kessler.

Duren is generally regarded as the top center on the open market after securing All-NBA Third Team honors in 2025-26. At 22 years of age, he has a captivating combination of youth, size, power, and skill that make him a star with superstar potential. Despite his promise, the Lakers went with Kessler.

According to Shams Charania of ESPN, the price of acquiring a new interior anchor was two first-round draft picks, two pick swaps, and a four-year, $130 million contract.

For as steep a cost as that may be, in Detroit, the Pistons are reportedly refusing to let Duren sign elsewhere and will match any offer sheet he receives.

In other words: The Lakers likely would've had to give up far more for Duren than they ultimately paid for Kessler, if it would've been possible at all.

Walker Kessler was the more affordable center option

Clearly, there's a degree of finality in Marc J. Spears' report that the Pistons will match any offer sheet that Duren receives. There's always room for negotiation in the NBA, however, and the Lakers were aggressive in their pursuit of Duren.

With the Pistons setting firm boundaries, that would seemingly imply that the Lakers would've had to extend quite a sign-and-trade offer to land the big man.

Beyond what Los Angeles would've had to give Detroit, it likely would've been tasked with paying an even bigger salary for Duren than Kessler. If the Pistons are willing to match any offer sheet he signs, then that would conceivably include the maximum the Lakers could offer at four years and $177.4 million.

In other words: The Lakers would've had to pay Duren upward of $44 million per season and still offer at least similar draft compensation to what they gave Utah for Kessler.

The Lakers will instead pay Kessler roughly $12 million less in projected salary per season on average. That's helped them make significant roster additions already, with Quentin Grimes, Sandro Mamukelashvili, and Collin Sexton all joining the team on multi-year deals.

It's been a long and frustrating road to finding a starting-caliber center, but the Lakers certainly minimized their losses by prioritizing Kessler over Duren.

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